Terms & Methodology
How our AI predictions work, what data drives them, and the limits you should be aware of before acting on any signal.
How predictions are generated
AltRare combines live marketplace data with structural fundamentals to produce a price forecast for each card across 30-day, 6-month and 12-month horizons. The model blends five signal families:
- Recent price deltas — 7d / 30d / 90d trend vs moving averages.
- Liquidity — recent sold-listing volume as a demand proxy.
- Scarcity — rarity tier, print run age, out-of-print status.
- Cross-marketplace spread — eBay vs Cardmarket vs TCGplayer.
- Demand momentum — search interest and listing velocity.
Each forecast is paired with a confidence score (Low / Medium / High) and a risk rating reflecting volatility and supply uncertainty.
Data sources
We aggregate data from official, rate-limited APIs and approved partner programs:
- Pokémon TCG API (cards, sets, prices)
- eBay Browse API (active & sold listings — official integration)
- Cardmarket / TCGplayer trend prices
We do not scrape restricted marketplaces or bypass terms of service. Rate limits and attribution requirements are respected.
Limitations you must understand
- Forecasts are estimates, not guarantees. Trading card prices are volatile and can be moved sharply by reprints, format rotations, tournament results, influencer coverage and broader collectible-market sentiment.
- Past performance is not predictive of future results.Historical trends are an input, not a promise.
- Thinly traded cards have wide error bars. Confidence drops significantly when recent sales volume is low.
- Grading & condition matter. Our base prices reflect raw / NM copies unless explicitly noted. Graded (PSA / BGS / CGC) prices behave differently.
- External shocks are not modelled. Lawsuits, set leaks, manufacturer policy changes and macro economic conditions can invalidate any forecast overnight.
Not financial advice
AltRare is an information and analytics tool. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, tax or legal advice. We are not a broker, dealer, registered investment advisor or fiduciary. Trading cards are collectibles with no guaranteed resale value.
You alone are responsible for any buying, selling or holding decisions. Always do your own research, consider your personal financial situation, and consult a qualified advisor where appropriate.
Affiliate disclosure
Some outbound links to eBay listings include affiliate tracking via the eBay Partner Network (EPN). If you purchase through these links we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. This does not influence which listings or signals the model surfaces — selection is fully data-driven.
Terms of use (summary)
- You must be 18+ (or the age of majority in your jurisdiction) to use the platform.
- You will not redistribute, scrape or resell our data or model outputs.
- The service is provided “as is” with no warranties of accuracy, completeness or fitness for any particular purpose.
- To the maximum extent permitted by law, AltRare is not liable for any losses, missed opportunities or damages arising from use of the platform or its predictions.
- We may update methodology, pricing tiers and these terms at any time.
